USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Indy Eleven badgeIndy ElevenvsBirmingham Legion badgeBirmingham Legion

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
44.7%
Edge
+9.9 pts
Best odds
2.11

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.11

LowEdge +9.9%
Our model54.6%
The market44.7%

The market underrated this by 9.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Indy Eleven badge

Indy Eleven

Attack40
Defence62
Form49
Birmingham Legion badge

Birmingham Legion

Attack53
Defence43
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model72.9%
The market85.5%
Edge
-12.6
Odds
1.17

Draw No Bet

Indy Eleven (DNB)

Void
Our model66.5%
The market69.4%
Edge
-2.9
Odds
1.44

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.9%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market44.7%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
2.11

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model54.6%
The market60.2%
Edge
-5.6
Odds
1.60

Match Winner

Indy Eleven Win

Miss
Our model53.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.