USL Championship · 23 May 2026AI PICK
Indy Elevenvs
Lexington
3 - 1Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 67.4%
- Market said
- 56.5%
- Edge
- +10.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.77
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.77
The market underrated this by 10.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Indy Eleven
Lexington
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.3
- Odds
- 1.27
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.9
- Odds
- 1.77
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.65
Match Winner
Indy Eleven Win
- Edge
- +8.5
- Odds
- 2.38
Draw No Bet
Indy Eleven (DNB)
- Edge
- -11.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 13.19
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.