USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 25 July 2026AI PICK

Indy Eleven badgeIndy ElevenvsLoudoun United badgeLoudoun United

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
44.7%
Edge
+10.8 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

MediumEdge +10.8%
Our model55.5%
The market44.7%

The market underrated this by 10.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Indy Eleven badge

Indy Eleven

Attack47
Defence65
Form51
Loudoun United badge

Loudoun United

Attack40
Defence37
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model73.0%
The market89.3%
Edge
-16.3
Odds
1.12

Draw No Bet

Indy Eleven (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.8%Correct
Our model55.5%
The market44.7%
Edge
+10.8
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model54.2%
The market58.4%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Indy Eleven Win

Miss
Our model42.8%
The market59.9%
Edge
-17.1
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model9.9%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
8.82

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.9%

1-1

14.3%

0-0

9.9%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.