USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 30 May 2026AI PICK

Indy Eleven badgeIndy ElevenvsRhode Island badgeRhode Island

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
72.4%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+21.1 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

High confidenceEdge +21.1%
Our model72.4%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 21.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Indy Eleven badge

Indy Eleven

Attack55
Defence66
Form52
Rhode Island badge

Rhode Island

Attack67
Defence60
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +21.1%Miss
Our model72.4%
The market51.3%
Edge
+21.1
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.2%Miss
Our model68.0%
The market57.8%
Edge
+10.2
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Indy Eleven (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Indy Eleven Win

Edge +6.4%Correct
Our model46.4%
The market40.0%
Edge
+6.4
Odds
2.50

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.1%
The market7.0%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
14.28

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.1%

2-1

7.2%

2-2

7.2%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.