Serie D badgeSerie D · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Ipatinga badgeIpatingavsCRAC badgeCRAC

0 - 0
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.4%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+17.8 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

High confidenceEdge +17.8%
Our model70.4%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 17.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Ipatinga badge

Ipatinga

Attack44
Defence57
Form47
CRAC badge

CRAC

Attack32
Defence53
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.8%Correct
Our model70.4%
The market52.6%
Edge
+17.8
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Ipatinga (DNB)

Void
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Ipatinga Win

Miss
Our model49.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model42.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
-11.9
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model20.1%
The market17.5%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
5.72

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

20.1%

0-0

14.6% · actual

0-1

13.5%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.