Serie D badgeSerie D · 4 July 2026AI PICK

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1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.1%
Market said
38.2%
Edge
+18.9 pts
Best odds
2.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

CSA Win

Match Winner · best price 2.62

MediumEdge +18.9%
Our model57.1%
The market38.2%

The market underrated this by 18.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Ipatinga badge

Ipatinga

Attack31
Defence31
Form27
CSA badge

CSA

Attack100
Defence73
Form76

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +20.6%Miss
Our model90.0%
The market69.4%
Edge
+20.6
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

CSA (DNB)

Edge +23.5%Miss
Our model80.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
+23.5
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

CSA Win

Edge +18.9%Miss
Our model57.1%
The market38.2%
Edge
+18.9
Odds
2.62

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.6%Miss
Our model55.1%
The market45.5%
Edge
+9.6
Odds
2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market52.4%
Edge
-0.4
Odds
1.91

Correct Score

Score: 0-2

Our model11.5%
The market13.2%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
7.58

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-2

11.5%

0-3

9.9%

1-2

9.2%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.