Serie D · 23 May 2026AI PICK
Ipatingavs
Ivinhema
3 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 66.7%
- Market said
- 58.8%
- Edge
- +7.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.70
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70
The market underrated this by 7.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Ipatinga
Ivinhema
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.9
- Odds
- 1.70
Match Winner
Ipatinga Win
- Edge
- -14.2
- Odds
- 1.57
Draw No Bet
Ipatinga (DNB)
- Edge
- -10.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -0.1
- Odds
- 2.20
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 6.81
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
16.9%
1-0
14.2%
0-0
11.5%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.