Serie D badgeSerie D · 14 June 2026AI PICK

Ipatinga badgeIpatingavsOperario Ferroviario badgeOperario Ferroviario

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
59.6%
Markets called
3 of 4 right, 1 close
Final score
2 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.60

MediumEdge -2.9%
Our model59.6%
The market62.5%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ipatinga badge

Ipatinga

Attack44
Defence37
Form36
Operario Ferroviario badge

Operario Ferroviario

Attack52
Defence41
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model59.6%
The market62.5%
Edge
-2.9
Odds
1.60

Match Winner

Ipatinga Win

Correct
Our model56.9%
The market61.7%
Edge
-4.8
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Ipatinga (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model46.2%
The market63.7%
Edge
-17.5
Odds
1.57

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.8%
Our model14.0%
The market12.2%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.20

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

14.0%

1-0

13.0%

1-1

11.2%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.