1. Deild badge1. Deild · 3 July 2026AI PICK

IR Reykjavik badgeIR ReykjavikvsAfturelding badgeAfturelding

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
91.2%
Market said
72.3%
Edge
+18.9 pts
Best odds
1.40

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.40

High confidenceEdge +18.9%
Our model91.2%
The market72.3%

The market underrated this by 18.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

IR Reykjavik badge

IR Reykjavik

Attack61
Defence33
Form33
Afturelding badge

Afturelding

Attack99
Defence53
Form76

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.9%Miss
Our model91.2%
The market72.3%
Edge
+18.9
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +15.3%Miss
Our model86.7%
The market71.4%
Edge
+15.3
Odds
1.40

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model75.1%
The market82.0%
Edge
-6.9
Odds
1.22

Draw No Bet

Afturelding (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Correct
Our model59.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Afturelding Win

Correct
Our model45.5%
The market48.8%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
2.05

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.