Toto Cup Ligat Al · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Ironi TiberiasvsMaccabi Petah Tikva

0 - 3

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 53.7%
Market said: 52.6%
Edge: +1.1 pts
Best odds: 1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

LowEdge +1.1%

Our model53.7%

The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 1.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Ironi Tiberias

Attack44

Defence35

Form22

Maccabi Petah Tikva

Attack25

Defence60

Form25

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +2.7%Miss

Our model72.1%

The market69.4%

Edge: +2.7
Odds: 1.44

Draw No Bet

Ironi Tiberias (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss

Our model62.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: +4.9
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.1%Close

Our model53.7%

The market52.6%

Edge: +1.1
Odds: 1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +2.8%Correct

Our model52.8%

The market50.0%

Edge: +2.8
Odds: 2.00

Match Winner

Ironi Tiberias Win

Edge +4.9%Miss

Our model43.1%

The market38.2%

Edge: +4.9
Odds: 2.62

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss

Our model13.5%

The market15.5%

Edge: -2.0
Odds: 6.45

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.5%

1-1

13.6%

0-0

11.6%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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