HNL badgeHNL · 4 May 2026AI PICK

Istra 1961 badgeIstra 1961vsNK Slaven Belupo badgeNK Slaven Belupo

3 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.7%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+12.1 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +12.1%
Our model67.7%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 12.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Istra 1961 badge

Istra 1961

Attack30
Defence39
Form22
NK Slaven Belupo badge

NK Slaven Belupo

Attack40
Defence39
Form26

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.1%Miss
Our model67.7%
The market55.6%
Edge
+12.1
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Istra 1961 (DNB)

Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model45.4%
The market55.6%
Edge
-10.2
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Istra 1961 Win

Our model37.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
-12.9
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.