Istresvs
Chasselay MDA
1 - 2Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.5%
- Market said
- 52.4%
- Edge
- +9.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.91
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.91
The market underrated this by 9.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Istres
Chasselay MDA
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.1
- Odds
- 1.91
Draw No Bet
Istres (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Istres Win
- Edge
- +2.6
- Odds
- 2.19
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -15.2
- Odds
- 1.62
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 6.90
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
16.7%
0-1
13.0%
1-1
11.2%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.