National 2 - Group C badgeNational 2 - Group C · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Istres badgeIstresvsChasselay MDA badgeChasselay MDA

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.5%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+9.1 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +9.1%
Our model61.5%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 9.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Istres badge

Istres

Attack43
Defence58
Form44
Chasselay MDA badge

Chasselay MDA

Attack36
Defence52
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.1%Close
Our model61.5%
The market52.4%
Edge
+9.1
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Istres (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Istres Win

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model48.3%
The market45.7%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
2.19

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model46.5%
The market61.7%
Edge
-15.2
Odds
1.62

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.2%Miss
Our model16.7%
The market14.5%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
6.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

16.7%

0-1

13.0%

1-1

11.2%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.