Serie C badgeSerie C · 25 May 2026AI PICK

Ituano badgeItuanovsBotafogo PB badgeBotafogo PB

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+9.4 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +9.4%
Our model59.4%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 9.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Ituano badge

Ituano

Attack51
Defence52
Form53
Botafogo PB badge

Botafogo PB

Attack56
Defence41
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.4%Miss
Our model59.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
+9.4
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Ituano Win

Edge +4.1%Correct
Our model58.7%
The market54.6%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.4%Miss
Our model52.9%
The market45.5%
Edge
+7.4
Odds
2.20

Draw No Bet

Ituano (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.3%
Our model10.3%
The market9.0%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.16

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.3%

1-0

10.3% · actual

1-1

10.1%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.