Serie C badgeSerie C · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Ituano badgeItuanovsConfiança badgeConfiança

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.0%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+11.0 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Ituano Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +11.0%
Our model61.0%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 11.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Ituano badge

Ituano

Attack40
Defence51
Form42
Confiança badge

Confiança

Attack29
Defence66
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Match Winner

Ituano Win

Edge +11.0%Correct
Our model61.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+11.0
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Ituano (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.4%Miss
Our model47.4%
The market42.0%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
2.38

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.1%Correct
Our model16.3%
The market14.2%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
7.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

16.3% · actual

0-1

11.9%

1-1

11.0%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.