Serie C badgeSerie C · 20 June 2026AI PICK

Ituano badgeItuanovsFigueirense badgeFigueirense

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.5%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+4.9 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Ituano Win

Match Winner · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +4.9%
Our model57.5%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 4.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Ituano badge

Ituano

Attack57
Defence46
Form53
Figueirense badge

Figueirense

Attack46
Defence38
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Match Winner

Ituano Win

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model57.5%
The market52.6%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Ituano (DNB)

Void
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market63.7%
Edge
-11.7
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model43.3%
The market59.9%
Edge
-16.6
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.7%
Our model13.0%
The market11.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
8.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.0%

1-1

10.4%

0-1

10.0%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.