Ituanovs
Figueirense
0 - 0Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.5%
- Market said
- 52.6%
- Edge
- +4.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
MissItuano Win
Match Winner · best price 1.90
The market underrated this by 4.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Ituano
Figueirense
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Match Winner
Ituano Win
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.90
Draw No Bet
Ituano (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -11.7
- Odds
- 1.57
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -16.6
- Odds
- 1.67
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.7
- Odds
- 8.86
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
13.0%
1-1
10.4%
0-1
10.0%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.