Serie C badgeSerie C · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Ituano badgeItuanovsMaringá badgeMaringá

4 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.3%
Market said
44.4%
Edge
+22.9 pts
Best odds
2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

MediumEdge +22.9%
Our model67.3%
The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 22.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ituano badge

Ituano

Attack42
Defence56
Form47
Maringá badge

Maringá

Attack71
Defence58
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +22.9%Correct
Our model67.3%
The market44.4%
Edge
+22.9
Odds
2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.2%Correct
Our model64.6%
The market52.4%
Edge
+12.2
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Ituano (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Ituano Win

Our model41.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.