Ivinhemavs
Democrata GV
3 - 1Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.9%
- Market said
- 35.7%
- Edge
- +25.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.80
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectIvinhema Win
Match Winner · best price 2.80
The market underrated this by 25.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Ivinhema
Democrata GV
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Match Winner
Ivinhema Win
- Edge
- +25.2
- Odds
- 2.80
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -4.0
- Odds
- 1.57
Draw No Bet
Ivinhema (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -6.7
- Odds
- 1.73
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 7.67
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
15.0%
0-1
12.0%
1-1
11.1%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.