Ivory Coastvs
Ecuador
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 68.3%
- Market said
- 33.3%
- Edge
- +35.0 pts
- Best odds
- 3.00
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 3.00
The market underrated this by 35.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Ivory Coast
Ecuador
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +13.6
- Odds
- 1.53
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +35.0
- Odds
- 3.00
Draw No Bet
Ivory Coast (DNB)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Ivory Coast Win
- Edge
- +35.4
- Odds
- 3.60
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +16.3
- Odds
- 2.20
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 12.24
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
1-0
8.0% · actual
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.