Serie D badgeSerie D · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Jacuipense badgeJacuipensevsAtlético Alagoinhas badgeAtlético Alagoinhas

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
78.4%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+24.3 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

High confidenceEdge +24.3%
Our model78.4%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 24.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Jacuipense badge

Jacuipense

Attack42
Defence37
Form33
Atlético Alagoinhas badge

Atlético Alagoinhas

Attack23
Defence33
Form8

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +24.3%Correct
Our model78.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+24.3
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Jacuipense (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Jacuipense Win

Edge +9.5%Correct
Our model59.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+9.5
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model38.3%
The market52.4%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.91

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.