Ekstraklasa badgeEkstraklasa · 25 July 2026AI PICK

Jagiellonia badgeJagielloniavsKorona Kielce badgeKorona Kielce

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+6.6 pts
Best odds
1.77

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.77

MediumEdge +6.6%
Our model61.2%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 6.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model73.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
-7.0
Odds
1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.6%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market54.6%
Edge
+6.6
Odds
1.77

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.2%Miss
Our model55.5%
The market49.3%
Edge
+6.2
Odds
1.94

Draw No Bet

Jagiellonia (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Jagiellonia Win

Correct
Our model42.8%
The market51.0%
Edge
-8.2
Odds
1.96

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.14

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.5%

1-1

11.9%

2-0

7.3%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.