First NL badgeFirst NL · 30 May 2026AI PICK

Jarun badgeJarunvsHNK Cibalia badgeHNK Cibalia

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.4%
Market said
57.1%
Edge
+4.3 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +4.3%
Our model61.4%
The market57.1%

The market underrated this by 4.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Jarun badge

Jarun

Attack43
Defence44
Form29
HNK Cibalia badge

HNK Cibalia

Attack89
Defence44
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.3%Close
Our model61.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.3
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.3%Correct
Our model60.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

HNK Cibalia (DNB)

Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

HNK Cibalia Win

Our model30.1%
The market54.6%
Edge
-24.5
Odds
1.83

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.3%
Our model10.0%
The market8.7%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.53

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.0%

1-2

9.9%

0-2

9.0%

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.