First NL badgeFirst NL · 2 May 2026AI PICK

Jarun badgeJarunvsHrvace badgeHrvace

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 2 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.3%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+0.6 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

MediumEdge +0.6%
Our model62.3%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 0.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Jarun badge

Jarun

Attack47
Defence50
Form36
Hrvace badge

Hrvace

Attack44
Defence48
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.6%Close
Our model62.3%
The market61.7%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
1.62

Match Winner

Jarun Win

Edge +8.0%Miss
Our model58.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.0
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Jarun (DNB)

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model47.9%
The market54.6%
Edge
-6.7
Odds
1.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.