J1 League badgeJ1 League · 2 September 2026AI PICK

JEF United Chiba badgeJEF United ChibavsFagiano Okayama badgeFagiano Okayama

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
54.2%
Edge
+4.4 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +4.4%
Our model58.6%
The market54.2%

The market underrated this by 4.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

JEF United Chiba badge

JEF United Chiba

Attack16
Defence23
Form0
Fagiano Okayama badge

Fagiano Okayama

Attack25
Defence76
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +2.8%Correct
Our model82.2%
The market79.4%
Edge
+2.8
Odds
1.26

Draw No Bet

Fagiano Okayama (DNB)

Edge +6.5%Correct
Our model72.7%
The market66.2%
Edge
+6.5
Odds
1.51

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.4%Close
Our model58.6%
The market54.2%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +2.5%Miss
Our model53.3%
The market50.8%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
1.90

Match Winner

Fagiano Okayama Win

Correct
Our model47.5%
The market50.3%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
1.99

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model18.2%
The market20.9%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
4.78

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

18.2%

0-2

7.9%

1-2

4.7% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.