Serie D · 30 May 2026AI PICK
Joinvillevs
Guarany de Bagé
2 - 0Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 74.0%
- Market said
- 65.8%
- Edge
- +8.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.52
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.52
The market underrated this by 8.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.6
- Odds
- 1.26
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.2
- Odds
- 1.52
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +6.2
- Odds
- 1.52
Match Winner
Joinville Win
- Edge
- +1.5
- Odds
- 1.49
Draw No Bet
Joinville (DNB)
- Edge
- +8.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-0
- Edge
- +3.8
- Odds
- 3.98
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-0
28.9%
1-0
28.3%
2-0
12.2% · actual
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.