Eerste Divisie badgeEerste Divisie · 28 August 2026AI PICK

Jong Ajax badgeJong AjaxvsHelmond Sport badgeHelmond Sport

3 - 2
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
39.0%
Edge
+15.0 pts
Best odds
2.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.53

LowEdge +15.0%
Our model54.0%
The market39.0%

The market underrated this by 15.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Jong Ajax badge

Jong Ajax

Attack48
Defence26
Form0
Helmond Sport badge

Helmond Sport

Attack18
Defence55
Form22

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +9.7%Correct
Our model83.8%
The market74.1%
Edge
+9.7
Odds
1.35

Draw No Bet

Jong Ajax (DNB)

Edge +17.4%Correct
Our model75.5%
The market58.1%
Edge
+17.4
Odds
1.72

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +15.0%Miss
Our model54.0%
The market39.0%
Edge
+15.0
Odds
2.53

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.7%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market41.1%
Edge
+12.7
Odds
2.30

Match Winner

Jong Ajax Win

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model50.0%
The market46.9%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
2.13

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss
Our model13.5%
The market15.5%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
6.46

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

13.5%

1-0

12.9%

1-1

11.2%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.