Eerste Divisie badgeEerste Divisie · 3 April 2026AI PICK

Jong AZ badgeJong AZvsHelmond Sport badgeHelmond Sport

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 7 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
50.3%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+0.3 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Jong AZ Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

LowEdge +0.3%
Our model50.3%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 0.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Double chance : Jong AZ or draw

How the two sides compared

Jong AZ badge

Jong AZ

Attack47
Defence35
Form27
Helmond Sport badge

Helmond Sport

Attack18
Defence47
Form13

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 7 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +18.6%Correct
Our model90.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+18.6
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Jong AZ Win

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model50.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Over 3.5 Goals

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Under 3.5 Goals

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Jong AZ (DNB)

Correct
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 7 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.