Primera División badgePrimera División · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Juan Pablo II College badgeJuan Pablo II CollegevsAlianza Atletico badgeAlianza Atletico

0 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.7%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+7.3 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +7.3%
Our model59.7%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 7.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Juan Pablo II College badge

Juan Pablo II College

Attack56
Defence31
Form40
Alianza Atletico badge

Alianza Atletico

Attack44
Defence54
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.3%Miss
Our model59.7%
The market52.4%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Juan Pablo II College (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.8%Close
Our model55.2%
The market44.4%
Edge
+10.8
Odds
2.25

Match Winner

Juan Pablo II College Win

Edge +8.4%Miss
Our model46.6%
The market38.2%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
2.62

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model11.0%
The market9.6%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.0%

1-1

9.5%

2-1

9.5%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.