Primera División badgePrimera División · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Juan Pablo II College badgeJuan Pablo II CollegevsAlianza Lima badgeAlianza Lima

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
53.9%
Edge
+0.7 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

LowEdge +0.7%
Our model54.6%
The market53.9%

The market underrated this by 0.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Juan Pablo II College badge

Juan Pablo II College

Attack44
Defence43
Form33
Alianza Lima badge

Alianza Lima

Attack44
Defence64
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model79.8%
The market80.6%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
1.24

Draw No Bet

Alianza Lima (DNB)

Void
Our model67.8%
The market73.0%
Edge
-5.2
Odds
1.37

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.7%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market53.9%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.80

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market51.5%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.89

Match Winner

Alianza Lima Win

Miss
Our model54.1%
The market58.8%
Edge
-4.7
Odds
1.70

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Our model8.2%
The market9.4%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.62

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

8.2%

1-2

7.7%

0-2

5.9%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.