Primera División badgePrimera División · 8 August 2026AI PICK

Juan Pablo II College badgeJuan Pablo II CollegevsAtletico Grau badgeAtletico Grau

0 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.5%
Market said
55.0%
Edge
+1.5 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +1.5%
Our model56.5%
The market55.0%

The market underrated this by 1.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Juan Pablo II College badge

Juan Pablo II College

Attack33
Defence38
Form27
Atletico Grau badge

Atletico Grau

Attack43
Defence55
Form41

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.5%Correct
Our model56.5%
The market55.0%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Atletico Grau (DNB)

Void
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +4.6%Correct
Our model53.6%
The market49.0%
Edge
+4.6
Odds
2.00

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model53.6%
The market59.9%
Edge
-6.3
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Atletico Grau Win

Edge +2.5%Miss
Our model33.8%
The market31.3%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
3.20

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model11.7%
The market13.5%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.7%

1-1

15.2%

0-0

14.0% · actual

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.