Primera A badgePrimera A · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Junior badgeJuniorvsJaguares badgeJaguares

3 - 3
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
49.1%
Edge
+5.5 pts
Best odds
1.93

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.93

LowEdge +5.5%
Our model54.6%
The market49.1%

The market underrated this by 5.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Junior badge

Junior

Attack54
Defence36
Form30
Jaguares badge

Jaguares

Attack43
Defence48
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model70.1%
The market95.2%
Edge
-25.1
Odds
1.05

Draw No Bet

Junior (DNB)

Void
Our model55.2%
The market84.7%
Edge
-29.5
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.5%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market49.1%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
1.93

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.8%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market47.8%
Edge
+6.8
Odds
2.05

Match Winner

Junior Win

Miss
Our model36.8%
The market71.9%
Edge
-35.1
Odds
1.39

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.6%

1-1

13.9%

2-1

9.2%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.