Primera A badgePrimera A · 14 May 2026AI PICK

Junior badgeJuniorvsOnce Caldas badgeOnce Caldas

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.0%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+3.2 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +3.2%
Our model61.0%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 3.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Junior badge

Junior

Attack48
Defence50
Form47
Once Caldas badge

Once Caldas

Attack69
Defence53
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.2%Correct
Our model61.0%
The market57.8%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.73

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model57.5%
The market55.6%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Junior Win

Miss
Our model48.9%
The market52.4%
Edge
-3.5
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Junior (DNB)

Void
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.3%
Our model10.1%
The market8.8%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.37

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.1%

1-1

9.4%

1-2

9.4%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.