CONMEBOL Sudamericana badgeCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5 May 2026AI PICK

Juventud badgeJuventudvsAtletico-MG badgeAtletico-MG

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.7%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+8.4 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +8.4%
Our model59.7%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 8.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Juventud badge

Juventud

Attack68
Defence32
Form29
Atletico-MG badge

Atletico-MG

Attack50
Defence39
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.4%Miss
Our model59.7%
The market51.3%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Juventud Win

Edge +8.9%Miss
Our model58.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Juventud (DNB)

Void
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model48.3%
The market59.9%
Edge
-11.6
Odds
1.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.