Primera División - Apertura badgePrimera División - Apertura · 11 July 2026AI PICK

Juventud badgeJuventudvsAtletico Torque badgeAtletico Torque

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.0%
Market said
54.3%
Edge
+3.7 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +3.7%
Our model58.0%
The market54.3%

The market underrated this by 3.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Juventud badge

Juventud

Attack65
Defence45
Form49
Atletico Torque badge

Atletico Torque

Attack70
Defence50
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market75.2%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Juventud (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Miss
Our model60.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market54.3%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.5%Correct
Our model54.1%
The market47.6%
Edge
+6.5
Odds
2.08

Match Winner

Juventud Win

Edge +0.9%Miss
Our model39.1%
The market38.2%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
2.62

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

1-1

10.5%

1-2

7.9%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.