Primera División - Apertura badgePrimera División - Apertura · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Juventud badgeJuventudvsLiverpool Montevideo badgeLiverpool Montevideo

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.6%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+1.8 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +1.8%
Our model59.6%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 1.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Juventud badge

Juventud

Attack43
Defence38
Form27
Liverpool Montevideo badge

Liverpool Montevideo

Attack45
Defence44
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.8%Correct
Our model59.6%
The market57.8%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.73

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.8%
The market54.6%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Juventud (DNB)

Void
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Juventud Win

Miss
Our model44.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-5.4
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.