Copa Do Brasil badgeCopa Do Brasil · 13 May 2026AI PICK

Juventude badgeJuventudevsSao Paulo badgeSao Paulo

3 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.2%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+11.5 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

High confidenceEdge +11.5%
Our model73.2%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 11.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Juventude badge

Juventude

Attack27
Defence81
Form40
Sao Paulo badge

Sao Paulo

Attack38
Defence100
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.5%Miss
Our model73.2%
The market61.7%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Juventude (DNB)

Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model45.4%
The market48.8%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
2.05

Match Winner

Juventude Win

Edge +1.3%
Our model34.6%
The market33.3%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
3.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.2%Miss
Our model16.9%
The market14.7%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
6.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.9%

1-0

14.2%

0-0

11.5%

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.