Serie B badgeSerie B · 10 July 2026AI PICK

Juventude badgeJuventudevsVila Nova badgeVila Nova

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.0%
Market said
46.3%
Edge
+11.7 pts
Best odds
2.16

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.16

MediumEdge +11.7%
Our model58.0%
The market46.3%

The market underrated this by 11.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Juventude badge

Juventude

Attack56
Defence85
Form56
Vila Nova badge

Vila Nova

Attack66
Defence53
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market76.3%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.31

Draw No Bet

Vila Nova (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Miss
Our model60.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.7%Miss
Our model58.0%
The market46.3%
Edge
+11.7
Odds
2.16

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.4%Miss
Our model55.9%
The market40.5%
Edge
+15.4
Odds
2.47

Match Winner

Vila Nova Win

Edge +17.1%Miss
Our model39.1%
The market22.0%
Edge
+17.1
Odds
4.54

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.7%

1-1

13.1%

2-1

8.1%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.