J2/J3 League badgeJ2/J3 League · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Kagoshima United badgeKagoshima UnitedvsRoasso Kumamoto badgeRoasso Kumamoto

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
68.5%
Market said
62.1%
Edge
+6.4 pts
Best odds
1.61

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.61

MediumEdge +6.4%
Our model68.5%
The market62.1%

The market underrated this by 6.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Kagoshima United badge

Kagoshima United

Attack43
Defence91
Form60
Roasso Kumamoto badge

Roasso Kumamoto

Attack42
Defence59
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +4.4%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.6%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.24

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.4%Close
Our model68.5%
The market62.1%
Edge
+6.4
Odds
1.61

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.5%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market49.3%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
2.03

Draw No Bet

Kagoshima United (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Kagoshima United Win

Correct
Our model41.5%
The market59.2%
Edge
-17.7
Odds
1.69

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.8%
Our model14.0%
The market12.2%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.20

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

14.0%

0-1

13.0%

1-1

11.2%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.