Cup badgeCup · 12 August 2026AI PICK

Kaluga badgeKalugavsIskra Smolensk badgeIskra Smolensk

5 - 0
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
56.5%
Markets called
4 of 5 right
Final score
5 - 0

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65

MediumEdge -4.1%
Our model56.5%
The market60.6%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Kaluga badge

Kaluga

Attack40
Defence58
Form40
Iskra Smolensk badge

Iskra Smolensk

Attack29
Defence36
Form22

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model72.7%
The market90.9%
Edge
-18.2
Odds
1.10

Draw No Bet

Kaluga (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Correct
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model56.5%
The market60.6%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.65

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model53.6%
The market62.5%
Edge
-8.9
Odds
1.60

Match Winner

Kaluga Win

Correct
Our model43.1%
The market68.5%
Edge
-25.4
Odds
1.46

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model12.7%
The market14.6%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
6.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.7%

1-1

14.7%

0-0

12.8%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.