First League · 24 August 2026AI PICK

KAMAZvsFC Sochi

2 - 3

Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 58.4%
Market said: 45.8%
Edge: +12.6 pts
Best odds: 2.12

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.12

MediumEdge +12.6%

Our model58.4%

The market45.8%

The market underrated this by 12.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

KAMAZ

Attack62

Defence44

Form38

FC Sochi

Attack77

Defence41

Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +2.3%Correct

Our model79.8%

The market77.5%

Edge: +2.3
Odds: 1.29

Draw No Bet

FC Sochi (DNB)

Edge +3.5%Correct

Our model62.7%

The market59.2%

Edge: +3.5
Odds: 1.69

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.6%Correct

Our model58.4%

The market45.8%

Edge: +12.6
Odds: 2.12

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.2%Correct

Our model54.2%

The market52.0%

Edge: +2.2
Odds: 1.85

Match Winner

FC Sochi Win

Edge +0.2%Correct

Our model50.0%

The market49.8%

Edge: +0.2
Odds: 2.01

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss

Our model8.1%

The market9.3%

Edge: -1.2
Odds: 10.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.1%

1-1

8.7%

2-2

7.3%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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