First League · 9 August 2026AI PICK

KAMAZvsVolga Ulyanovsk

1 - 2

Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 56.5%
Market said: 44.4%
Edge: +12.1 pts
Best odds: 2.19

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.19

MediumEdge +12.1%

Our model56.5%

The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 12.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

KAMAZ

Attack67

Defence47

Form48

Volga Ulyanovsk

Attack50

Defence46

Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +0.2%Miss

Our model72.7%

The market72.5%

Edge: +0.2
Odds: 1.38

Draw No Bet

KAMAZ (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Miss

Our model60.3%

The market57.1%

Edge: +3.2
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.1%Correct

Our model56.5%

The market44.4%

Edge: +12.1
Odds: 2.19

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.1%Correct

Our model54.6%

The market52.5%

Edge: +2.1
Odds: 1.83

Match Winner

KAMAZ Win

Edge +10.1%Miss

Our model50.4%

The market40.3%

Edge: +10.1
Odds: 2.48

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss

Our model9.6%

The market11.0%

Edge: -1.4
Odds: 9.06

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-1

11.4%

2-0

7.4%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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