Premier League · 10 August 2026AI PICK

KarpatyvsLNZ Cherkasy

3 - 0

Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 56.5%
Market said: 42.5%
Edge: +14.0 pts
Best odds: 2.33

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.33

MediumEdge +14.0%

Our model56.5%

The market42.5%

The market underrated this by 14.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Karpaty

Attack61

Defence77

Form53

LNZ Cherkasy

Attack48

Defence100

Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +8.2%

Our model72.7%

The market64.5%

Edge: +8.2
Odds: 1.55

Draw No Bet

Karpaty (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Correct

Our model60.3%

The market57.1%

Edge: +3.2
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.0%Correct

Our model56.5%

The market42.5%

Edge: +14.0
Odds: 2.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.3%Miss

Our model54.6%

The market49.3%

Edge: +5.3
Odds: 1.97

Match Winner

Karpaty Win

Edge +19.2%Correct

Our model51.7%

The market32.5%

Edge: +19.2
Odds: 3.08

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Our model9.4%

The market10.8%

Edge: -1.4
Odds: 9.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.4%

1-1

11.1%

1-2

6.9%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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