Úrvalsdeild badgeÚrvalsdeild · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Keflavik badgeKeflavikvsStjarnan badgeStjarnan

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
82.6%
Market said
73.5%
Edge
+9.1 pts
Best odds
1.36

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.36

High confidenceEdge +9.1%
Our model82.6%
The market73.5%

The market underrated this by 9.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Keflavik badge

Keflavik

Attack67
Defence39
Form52
Stjarnan badge

Stjarnan

Attack82
Defence38
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.7%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market81.3%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.23

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.1%Close
Our model82.6%
The market73.5%
Edge
+9.1
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model72.7%
The market73.5%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Keflavik (DNB)

Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Keflavik Win

Edge +5.3%
Our model40.6%
The market35.3%
Edge
+5.3
Odds
2.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.