Úrvalsdeild badgeÚrvalsdeild · 22 May 2026AI PICK

Keflavik badgeKeflavikvsThor Akureyri badgeThor Akureyri

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
80.0%
Market said
76.3%
Edge
+3.7 pts
Best odds
1.31

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.31

High confidenceEdge +3.7%
Our model80.0%
The market76.3%

The market underrated this by 3.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Keflavik badge

Keflavik

Attack64
Defence41
Form50
Thor Akureyri badge

Thor Akureyri

Attack78
Defence38
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market84.0%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.19

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.7%Miss
Our model80.0%
The market76.3%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.31

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model71.4%
The market73.5%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.36

Match Winner

Keflavik Win

Correct
Our model48.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.7
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

Keflavik (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.