Challenge Cup badgeChallenge Cup · 11 August 2026AI PICK

Kelty Hearts badgeKelty HeartsvsMotherwell U21 badgeMotherwell U21

4 - 3
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.7%
Market said
38.5%
Edge
+17.2 pts
Best odds
2.60

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.60

MediumEdge +17.2%
Our model55.7%
The market38.5%

The market underrated this by 17.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Kelty Hearts badge

Kelty Hearts

Attack19
Defence31
Form14
Motherwell U21 badge

Motherwell U21

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +35.3%Miss
Our model73.5%
The market38.2%
Edge
+35.3
Odds
2.62

Draw No Bet

Motherwell U21 (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Miss
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.2%Miss
Our model55.7%
The market38.5%
Edge
+17.2
Odds
2.60

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.5%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Motherwell U21 Win

Edge +26.4%Miss
Our model43.1%
The market16.7%
Edge
+26.4
Odds
6.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model18.3%
The market21.1%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
4.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

18.3%

0-0

18.1%

1-1

13.5%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.