Kelty Heartsvs
Motherwell U21
4 - 3Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.7%
- Market said
- 38.5%
- Edge
- +17.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.60
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.60
The market underrated this by 17.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Kelty Hearts
Motherwell U21
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +35.3
- Odds
- 2.62
Draw No Bet
Motherwell U21 (DNB)
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +17.2
- Odds
- 2.60
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +0.5
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Motherwell U21 Win
- Edge
- +26.4
- Odds
- 6.00
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -2.8
- Odds
- 4.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
18.3%
0-0
18.1%
1-1
13.5%
We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.