First Division badgeFirst Division · 12 June 2026AI PICK

Kerry badgeKerryvsAthlone Town badgeAthlone Town

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.1%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+14.3 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

High confidenceEdge +14.3%
Our model73.1%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 14.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Kerry badge

Kerry

Attack41
Defence46
Form33
Athlone Town badge

Athlone Town

Attack30
Defence48
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.3%
Our model85.0%
The market78.7%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.27

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.3%Correct
Our model73.1%
The market58.8%
Edge
+14.3
Odds
1.70

Match Winner

Kerry Win

Edge +18.0%Correct
Our model62.8%
The market44.8%
Edge
+18.0
Odds
2.23

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +5.4%
Our model57.8%
The market52.4%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Kerry (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.6%Correct
Our model20.1%
The market17.5%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
5.72

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

20.1% · actual

0-0

14.6%

0-1

13.5%

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.