First Division badgeFirst Division · 4 May 2026AI PICK

Kerry badgeKerryvsCork City badgeCork City

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.5%
Market said
53.5%
Edge
+8.0 pts
Best odds
1.87

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.87

MediumEdge +8.0%
Our model61.5%
The market53.5%

The market underrated this by 8.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Kerry badge

Kerry

Attack48
Defence31
Form18
Cork City badge

Cork City

Attack85
Defence81
Form82

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model85.0%
The market86.2%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
1.16

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.0%Miss
Our model61.5%
The market53.5%
Edge
+8.0
Odds
1.87

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.2%Miss
Our model61.5%
The market49.3%
Edge
+12.2
Odds
2.03

Draw No Bet

Cork City (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Cork City Win

Our model30.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-19.8
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.