First Division badgeFirst Division · 26 June 2026AI PICK

Kerry badgeKerryvsLongford Town badgeLongford Town

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
54.3%
Markets called
1 of 2 right, 1 close
Final score
2 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.66

LowEdge -5.9%
Our model54.3%
The market60.2%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Kerry badge

Kerry

Attack36
Defence57
Form42
Longford Town badge

Longford Town

Attack42
Defence53
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model75.3%
The market79.4%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.26

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model54.3%
The market60.2%
Edge
-5.9
Odds
1.66

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model48.2%
The market53.8%
Edge
-5.6
Odds
1.86

Draw No Bet

Kerry (DNB)

Our model38.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
-18.4
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Kerry Win

Our model38.6%
The market45.7%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
2.19

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.5%
The market13.5%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

15.5%

1-0

14.3%

1-1

11.4%

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.