First Division badgeFirst Division · 17 April 2026AI PICK

Kerry badgeKerryvsTreaty United badgeTreaty United

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+3.6 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +3.6%
Our model58.2%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 3.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Kerry badge

Kerry

Attack63
Defence29
Form24
Treaty United badge

Treaty United

Attack45
Defence34
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.6%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market54.6%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Kerry (DNB)

Void
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.3%Close
Our model52.9%
The market47.6%
Edge
+5.3
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Kerry Win

Edge +2.7%Miss
Our model52.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.