First Division badgeFirst Division · 21 August 2026AI PICK

Kerry badgeKerryvsUCD badgeUCD

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
56.2%
Edge
+3.2 pts
Best odds
1.71

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.71

MediumEdge +3.2%
Our model59.4%
The market56.2%

The market underrated this by 3.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Kerry badge

Kerry

Attack56
Defence49
Form55
UCD badge

UCD

Attack68
Defence38
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model66.1%
The market69.4%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
1.44

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.2%Close
Our model59.4%
The market56.2%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.71

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.7%
The market61.7%
Edge
-9.0
Odds
1.56

Draw No Bet

UCD (DNB)

Void
Our model50.1%
The market51.3%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

UCD Win

Miss
Our model33.8%
The market45.7%
Edge
-11.9
Odds
2.19

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-1

10.5% · actual

2-1

7.9%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.