Cup badgeCup · 12 August 2026AI PICK

Khimik Dzerzhinsk badgeKhimik DzerzhinskvsNosta badgeNosta

2 - 3
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.8%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+20.8 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Khimik Dzerzhinsk Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

High confidenceEdge +20.8%
Our model70.8%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 20.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Khimik Dzerzhinsk badge

Khimik Dzerzhinsk

Attack93
Defence100
Form91
Nosta badge

Nosta

Attack13
Defence35
Form16

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +16.1%Miss
Our model87.5%
The market71.4%
Edge
+16.1
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Khimik Dzerzhinsk Win

Edge +20.8%Miss
Our model70.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+20.8
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Khimik Dzerzhinsk (DNB)

Edge +11.7%Miss
Our model68.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+11.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model56.5%
The market52.6%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.5%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 3-0

Miss
Our model15.6%
The market18.0%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
5.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

3-0

15.6%

2-0

15.1%

4-0

12.1%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.